THIS ward has been represented by a number of different parties over the years. Liberal Democrat, Ukip and Labour. It now looks pretty sold Labour again.
Conservative candidate, Andreea Hardware has had a couple of attempts and gone close. In May 2018, she lost by 99 and in November she lost by just 83.
Of course, things have changed a wee bit since then and you do wonder if Conservative candidates may suffer from Brexit-itis as many are predicting. Having said that, there may be a number of reasons why Labour might suffer as well.
This is a busy ward with a whole host of challenges and issues. From parking (the traffic wardens were out on Tracyes Road on Sunday but that is a different story), trade in Bush Fair, Tye Green libraries, roadworks, crime to name just a few.
Labour’s Jodi Dunne won the seat in November and has been settling in as a new councillor. It its hard taking over from someone such as Ian Beckett, who was and is, so embedded in the community but cllr Dunne needs to be given time.
Ukip continue to be a consideration. They may well get a bounce this year with the Brexit factor. In November, they polled 103 (15%) and would surely like to increase that percentage towards 20%. The candidate is Anita Long.
We think the Labour majority will go back over 100.
YH Prediction: Lab Hold
Name of Candidate
Jodi Dunne Labour
Andreea Hardware Conservative
Anita Long (UKIP)
Christopher Robins Liberal Democrats
Labour: Jodi Dunne: 543 (45.0% +5.6)
Conservative: Andreea Hardware: 460 (38.1% +6.0)
UKIP: Anita Long: 103 8.5% (-15.4)
Harlow Alliance Party: Nicholas Taylor: 63 (5.2% +5.2)
Lib Dem: Lesley Rideout: 39 (3.2% -1.4)
Popularity: 1% [?]