THOSE who have followed our daily reports will have seen a definite pattens of decline in infections from the statistics published on January 14th through to February 3rd.

The biggest daily drop was January 16th of 127 cases. The smallest was 17 on Feb 1st.

Most drops were in the 20’s, 30’s and up to 55.

However, the last two days have seen declines of “just” 9 and 11.

Therefore? Therefore, there is a possibility that the journey from 273 cases to zero in Harlow, may take longer that we think and, whose to say, unless people are vigilant, then may start to go up again.

Todays statistics

Harlow has fallen to 60th in the league table. That is its lowest position since late November. That is quite a milestone.

The total number of cases is 273. A decrease of 11 on yesterday.

That is a rate of 313.6 cases per 100,000. The lowest since December 16th.

A drop of 38.0%.

This is the 23rd day in a row we have seen a fall.

What should be seen as reassuring for Harlow residents is how relatively consistent the fall is. However today’s fall may be a sign that we must be vigilant.

In the previous seven days, the number of cases in Harlow has declined by: 11, 9, 30, 30, 17, 33, 37, 26, and 55.

We think everyone could put up with this boring consistency.

That is a fall of 1020 cases since the “peak” on January 9th

This is the lowest rate since December 18th.

It is the second highest in Essex however, as you can see below, many other areas in Essex and on our border seem to have made much faster progress in the decline of their infection rates.

Remember this refers to January 31st but published on February 5th.

YH understands that there are 84 Covid in-patients, including 8 on ventilators.

There are 139 outstanding test results.

There are now 10 Covid wards at PAH. Lister, Locke, Penn, Harold, Kingsmoor, Charnley, John Snow, Henry Moore and ITU.

Reference point

https://coronavstats.co.uk

Plus Twitter account @RP131

If you are interested in flu rates etc then we can signpost you to the Twitter account of @jburnmurdoch who will in turn explain Public Health data.

Increase and Decrease

Dec 16th: 506

Dec 20th: 726

Dec 27th: 984

Dec 31st: 1123

Jan 4th: 1327

Jan 10th: 1078

Jan 13th: 810

Jan 16th: 717

Jan 20th: 594

Jan 25th: 402

Jan 30th: 284

On November 19th it was 251st out of 315 local authorities. Then the rate started to rise and it climbed up the chart. By November 30th, it was in 53rd place.

The infection rate tells a similar story. Back on September 30th it was 29.9. October 16th: 68.9. November 8th: 118.3. November 22nd it was 206.7. December 2nd it was 221.7.

For further reference, may we signpost is channel which has, to date, over 1000 Covid-related news items on channel since March. Go to our Covid-19 report on December 12th for a fuller explanation of the statistics.

https://www.yourharlow.com/category/health-and-well-being/covid-19/

Look at the percentage increase of the areas close to Harlow.

Other areas

It is worth observing how many areas near us have seen a decline in infections and have dropped down the table.

Braintree: 80th-295.5–451

Thurrock: 82nd-294.3–513

Broxbourne: 102nd-273.4–266

Basildon: 116th-266.0–498

Havering : 122nd-257.6–668

Epping Forest: 154th-240.7–317

Southend: 155th-240.3–440

Chelmsford: 158th-239.4-427

Uttlesford-248-178.6-163

East Herts-249th-178.3–267

Brentwood: 270th-140.2–108

Local Authorities

England local authorities by highest number of COVID-19 positives per 100k population.

Seven–day rolling rate by specimen date – ending Jan 31st