Major opinion poll says Labour to take Harlow at next General Election
News / Tue 31st Jan 2023 at 12:56pm
A MAJOR polling company has predicted that Labour will take the constituency of Harlow at the next General Election.
Harlow is presently held by Conservative MP, Robert Halfon, with a majority of 14,063.
Mr Halfon has held the seat since 2010.
Political analysts believe that studies such as this may not take into account person appeal of an MP such as Mr Halfon, whilst others believe that the Conservatives, across the board, may be in for a mauling.
Harlow was often referred to as a “bell weather” seat. Bill Rammell (1997 to 2010) had a majority of just 95 in 2005. But Robert Halfon’s majority has grown and grown.
Labour have yet to select a candidate for the seat and there has been no date set for selection. Across the country they have been very busy selecting candidates. so it would be a surprise if we don’t have a candidate by the summer.
However, locally and perhaps nationally, they may be tempering any optimism with the reality that Mr Halfon, despite the national picture, will be hard to dislodge.
The last date for a General Election is January 2025 but many believe it will be either May or October 2024.
I had a labour canvasser knock on my door, asked what I would like labour to do, I said get a parliamentary candidate, centre, not extreme left. The person said there isn't a candidate because Labour don't think they can win, controlled by Central office, I said to heck with them, just do it. The canvasser seemed to think that wasn't likely to happen. People have been banging on about this but Labour politicians don't have the guts to stand up and tell it how it is, on this particular matter
James your having a laugh, high taxes growing state, slash taxes fire the public sector and stop net zero insanity that would be ambitious.
Based on what ?? How many people were surveyed, if any ? normally 1 to 2 k, which is a waste of time & effort. Labour lost Harlow for the same reason they will not win it back. Labour are still viewed as looney left types, that despise success & hard work. & lets be honest what did they ACTUALLY do for Harlow in all those years they were in power ? Other than increase the Council tax. 2k to get your bins emptied & the grass cut ? Please. legalised mugging tbh. & just for fun ask a local Labour Councilor if they come knocking, if woman have a penis.
That's a very narrow predicted lead. Regardless of what you think of his actions as an MP, Robert Halfon has a long track record of running strong election campaigns, and has a good shot at bucking the national trend. To have any chance of winning Harlow, Labour needs to select a highly motivated candidate as soon as possible and allow us to get to know them. Adam: fire the public sector? I guess trying to run a society without teachers, doctors, police, firefighters or bin collectors would be highly ambitious. I look forward to hearing more about how this will work. Toby: Asking total strangers questions about genitalia is an interesting conversational tactic. I assume that when you do that, it comes across as very normal and not at all "looney"?
Hey Nick, Asking a Labout Councilor if they/the Party believe a woman has a penis is a legitamate question. Startmer believe they do. Sure its an uncomftable question, but surely if they want the public to vote for them, the public have a right what their beliefs are on topical subjects. & Labour put themselves up as a party of looney ideas, so asking how far that lunacy extends to - perfectly ok.
A lot can happen between now and the General Election. The current policies on offer don't inspire me sufficiently to vote for them Keir Starmer has broken too many of the pledges he made when he stood for leader of the Labour Party for me to trust him as Prime Minister.
Defund the lot of them
One question. What has happened to the MPs commitment that he had secured funding for a new PAH on a new site outside Harlow. Tory truth or Tory lie….
If Mr Halfon stands as an independent then I might consider voting for him on a good day. No way would I lend my vote to the Conservative party this time round, though.
James - because your party is a cesspit of corruption, caused human rights violations with lockdown, raised taxes to the highest level ever. Or maybe because you want to make us all poorer and worse off with net zero insanity where we are confined to 15 minute cities, are tracked via CBDC, with carbon credits to control, have constrained travel and have poorer food like insects forced on us while a global elite fly around the world doing what they want.
Unless labour can find a candidate that is not a Momentum clone of Corbyn and is actually from Harlow, not someone parachuted in from "Islington" then they have no hope of gaining the town.
Heaven help us. I will most definitely not be voting for the anti British, anti Semitic, bullying Labour party but then again I won't be voting for the Tory party either. They are both as bad had eachother. Only in it for themselves and tto line their own pockets and not for the number one priority of Harlow, the people.
It is with no surprise that I read yet another comment from Tony Durcan that it is "all Tory lies"! When will he actually tell us what a labour lead council will do for Harlow and supply a costed plan outlining the increase in Council Tax that we will all have to pay if he were to implement all of the ideas that he believe in, whatever they are. Or alternatively which services will have to be ditched, for example, to pay for fixing the pots holes that he seems so wound up about. The council budget, just like a family budget, can only be split so many ways, what are your plans Mr Durcan?
It is with no surprise that I read yet another comment from Tony Durcan that it is "all Tory lies"! When will he actually tell us what a labour lead council will do for Harlow and supply a costed plan outlining the increase in Council Tax that we will all have to pay if he were to implement all of the ideas that he believe in, whatever they are. Or alternatively which services will have to be ditched, for example, to pay for fixing the pot holes that he seems so wound up about. The council budget, just like a family budget, can only be split so many ways, what are your plans Mr Durcan?
AEW1952 asks the key question. Easy to whinge: much tougher to manage without a magic money tree. Will be interesting to read Cllr Durcan’s reply.