BACK in 2021, Labour had a very very bad night. The only seat they successfully defended was Little Parndon and Hare Street. The Labour candidate Chris Vince retained his seat by 82 votes.

Of course, that was a two-horse race.

This time, we have Reform.

By 2024, the Conservatives dominated the outer wards of Harlow and Labour hung on to the inner.

Now it looks like Labour are going to lose those.

All parties have poor periods. Labour’s problem in Harlow is the prospect of a West Essex Unitary Authority. But that is for another time.

Labour’s candidate is their deputy leader Lanie Shears. She is at present a councillor in Mark Hall. This isn’t, we believe, what is known in the game as a chicken run. More like the planned candidate was abroad and unable to sign their papers.

We also think (with all due respect) that the Conservative candidate may be a paper candidate. Simon Carter was a very highly regarded councillor over in Church Langley for many years.

The Green candidate Madison Baker is their one Young Green. We get the distinct impression that she is their only Young Green.

Following the success in the Denton By-Election and the anticipated success in London on May 7th, this should have been an opportunity for a dozen or so energised young Greens to be out and about. They keep telling us they exist but..to quote Delia Smith…..

The Reform candidate is Wendy-Jane Harding. That is about all we know. We did request an interview but it wants possible at time we asked.

As anyone who has represented this ward, they will know it is very rewarding and very demanding.

YH Prediction: Reform Gain

List of Candidates