Pollster produces ward-by-ward breakdown of General Election result for Harlow
Elections / Thu 1st Aug 2024 at 09:58am
A LEADING political pollster and analyst has produced a ward-by-ward breakdown of voting in the July General Election.
Ben Walker runs Britain Elects ahed has just published what he calls The ultimate General Election breakdown.
He has issued what he describes as a “very heavy health warning”.
Mr Walker said: “Treat the figures mapped above and in the spreadsheet as estimates, not definitive summations as to who won and by how much. I’ve been privy to more than my fair sharing of samples from the count – from all parties (and thank you very much for them).
“I know in plenty of wards the actual result (or rather, the sample as taken by party activists) is more than one hundred or so votes off what I’ve been able to model here. In some wards the modelled result puts the wrong party ahead of what the sampling said.
“In some wards, too, turnout is overstated by a few points. But generally speaking, what I’ve been able to cross-reference shows me an average error for the top two parties of around three-to-four percentage points”.
Here are the results for Harlow (and the villages)
Lostinthemiddle
2024-08-01 10:17:47
Reform really stuffed it for everyone didn’t they for what is essentially a protest vote without any real hope of winning the seat. Will continue to do so for a while the Tories go after those votes they lost, completely forgetting the bigger number of votes in the middle they lost to Labour and non voters. If Tories go more right I’d expect Labour to stay in power at the next election too so way to hand it to Labour and give a strong majority. Mr Vince, the best thing that could happen to you is if Patel or Badenock get the job…
Eskoman
2024-08-01 10:59:48
Worries only mugging themselves if they think Reform cost them the election. The plain truth is there core vote decided they didn't want them back in, if Reform wasn't there they would have voted fore someone else, anyone other than the Conservatives! You can only treat the electorate with disrespect for so long before they bite you in the butt.
Eskoman
2024-08-01 11:41:40
Predictive Text strikes again, Torys not Worries . . . although it's not a bad alternative!
Hopcroft Brian
2024-08-01 13:10:12
Makes interesting reading. The villages, old town and Church Langley all stayed right, Reform/Tories split. Gives you a feel for the mood of the town though, a kind of worrying feel. Most of Essex should theoretically have stayed on the right if it wasn’t for Reform.
Dan Long
2024-08-01 19:53:18
Your bunch of anti British cowardly lefties will not last for too long
Becks Todd
2024-08-01 22:58:26
After 14 years of chaos, thievery, lies, Covid parties, strikes, defunding the NHS etc etc ad infinitum, who are the MUGS still voting for the Tories?!! Have they been living under a rock?!
Mark Gough
2024-11-06 14:08:37
Well Todd Becks, I bet Pensioners, Students and Farmers are regretting voting Labour, if any of them actually did!
Mark Gough
2024-11-06 14:11:53
Where is the Reform result in Broadly Common?
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